MatchPrism

GT vs DC

Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadApril 4, 202619:30 IST

Model Confidence

91%

GT 56%44% DC

Venue Intelligence

Avg 1st Innings

183.5

Chase Win %

47%

Toss Choice

BOWL

Pitch Nature

PACE

Venue Verdict

Good batting surface, evenly split between batting first and chasing, with plenty of sixes.

Wicket Intelligence

Pace UtilityNaN%
Spin GripNaN%

Conditions Intelligence

Dew Analysis

60%

Dew Probability

Moderate

Advantage: Chasing Team

Bowling Conditions

Swing Potential40%
Spin Potential40%

Match Day Weather

Temperature32°C
Humidity65%
Wind12 km/h
Cloud Cover25%

Clear sky (estimated)(estimated)

Toss Recommendation

Bowl First

Bowl First 85%70% confidence
  • Moderate dew likely (60%) — slight edge to team batting second.

Captain Genius Picks

Live Optimization
A+T Stubbs

Batter

Last 5

2921*44*6*34*

Averages 109.0 at this venue (SR 170.31) in 3 innings. Has hit 6 sixes at this ground.

A+Shubman Gill

Batter

Last 5

280429*46

Averages 58.32 at this venue (SR 165.12) in 26 innings. Has hit 51 sixes at this ground.

Last 5

804121108*5

Averages 53.78 at this venue (SR 157.65) in 19 innings. Has hit 36 sixes at this ground.

Avoid TodayKL RahulD

Below-average venue record (Grade D). Venue avg 24.43 suggests poor conditions fit.

Avoid TodayRashid KhanD

Below-average venue record (Grade D). Venue avg 11.25 suggests poor conditions fit.

Advanced Analysis

OutcomeModel Prob.Implied Prob.EdgeVerdict
GT Home Win56%55%+1%FAIR
Total Match Sixes > 1475%74%+1%FAIR
Chasing Team Wins47%50%-3%AVOID

Analysis is based on historical data and statistical models. Probabilities reflect model output and do not guarantee outcomes. Always exercise independent judgment.

Historical Supremacy

GT4 - 3DC
2025-05-18Arun Jaitley Stadium
199/3
205/0
won by 10 wickets
2025-04-19Narendra Modi Stadium
203/8
204/3
won by 7 wickets
2024-04-24Arun Jaitley Stadium
224/4
220/8
won by 4 runs
2024-04-17Narendra Modi Stadium
92/4
89/10
won by 6 wickets
2023-05-02Narendra Modi Stadium
130/8
125/6
won by 5 runs

Player Venue Fit

Titans
Capitals
PlayerRoleVenue AvgVenue SR/EconOracle Grade
Batter58.32A+
Batter53.75A+
Batter53.78B
Bowler99.05B
Bowler98.42B
All-rounder22.129.08B
Batter2113B
Bowler07.93B
Bowler1.678.77B
Bowler07.75B
Bowler39.96C
Bowler1113.67C
Bowler11.259.27D
Batter2.675D
Batter499.79N/A
Bowler012.5N/A

Intelligence Glossary

Understanding the Powerplay

The first six overs of each innings are designated as the powerplay. During this phase, only two fielders are permitted outside the 30-yard circle. This restriction incentivizes aggressive batting and creates high-scoring phases. At venues like Chinnaswamy with short boundaries, powerplay runs per over tend to exceed the tournament average significantly. Our model weights powerplay performance heavily when projecting first-innings totals.

Impact Player Rule

IPL 2026 retains the impact player substitution rule, allowing teams to substitute one player at any point during the match. This tactical dimension adds strategic depth, as teams can bring in specialist batters during chases or additional bowlers to exploit conditions. Our model accounts for likely impact player usage patterns when calculating win probability and player projections.

The Decision Review System (DRS)

Each team receives two unsuccessful reviews per innings. The DRS allows teams to challenge on-field umpire decisions using ball-tracking technology (Hawk-Eye) and UltraEdge. Historically, DRS overturns approximately 28% of reviewed LBW decisions. Venue-specific factors like bounce and seam movement influence DRS success rates, which our model incorporates into bowling projections.